The last few years I’ve been working on applying statistical models to the NHL playoffs. Last year I seemingly made a breakthrough as my model did a far better job of predicting the teams that had a good shot at the conference finals. Armed with this information I was able to win all of the playoff pools I entered (something that I thought was nearly impossible). The main league I play in has already drafted and the others don’t read this blog so I’m free to share what my research has uncovered for the 2010 playoffs.

At the beginning of the season I predicted the NHL standings utilizing a statistical model I created. Obviously my model wasn’t completely accurate in its predictions (if it was the players could stay home and we could skip straight to the playoffs). My original prediction (revision 2):

Once again I have revised my estimates. This is my final version based purely on my predictive model from last year. From here on out I will utilize statistics from the current season to note teams that should be on the rise/fall. Again please don't tell me I have a team too high or low. This is completely model based and has nothing to do with my own personal feelings.